SK Square announced a total ₩4.3 trillion shareholder return policy, through which 70% of dividend income flowing in from its subsidiary SK Hynix will be returned directly to shareholders 12. This represents a substantial increase in the payout ratio compared to the 'return of 30% or more of dividend income' pledge made at the shareholders' meeting in March 32.

Market interest is driven by the policy’s intent to use cash generated during the semiconductor boom as a key tool to narrow the holding company’s NAV discount rate (undervaluation of the share price relative to assets). With approximately 98% of SK Square’s total net asset value (NAV) composed of its stake in SK Hynix, the efficiency with which subsidiary cash generation is converted into parent-company shareholder returns is seen as the core variable of this policy.

From 30% in March to 70% in October: The backdrop to the surge in payout ratio

From 30% in March to 70% in October: The backdrop to the surge in payout ratio

SK Square’s shareholder return policy underwent significant changes between March and October 2026. At the March shareholders’ meeting, the company proposed returning 30% or more of regular dividend income as part of its mid-term policy for 2026–2028, with the projected scale of 2026 shareholder returns set at around ₩310 billion at the time 3.

However, the new policy announced on October 28 sharply raised the payout ratio to 70% of dividend income and expanded the total scale to ₩4.3 trillion 124. This change is believed to have become possible because SK Hynix announced the largest-ever shareholder return plan on October 28, with earnings and dividend capacity significantly exceeding prior expectations.

Structure of cash inflow from Hynix: How SK Square generates dividend income?

Structure of cash inflow from Hynix: How SK Square generates dividend income?

The cash underpinning SK Square’s shareholder returns originates from its largest subsidiary, SK Hynix. SK Square holds approximately 20.5% of SK Hynix shares as the largest shareholder, and 98% of its NAV is composed of the value of its SK Hynix stake 5.

On October 28, 2026, SK Hynix disclosed annual shareholder returns of approximately ₩100 trillion (cash dividends exceeding ₩30 trillion + treasury stock acquisition and cancellation exceeding ₩60 trillion) 4. In particular, in the third quarter, it resolved a cash dividend of ₩20,000 per share, which included a special dividend of ₩10,000 reflecting the gain from the sale of its Kioxia stake, in addition to a ₩10,000 increase from earnings improvement 4.

According to SK Securities’ analysis, SK Hynix’s large-scale dividend expansion is estimated to bring SK Square’s projected dividend income for this year to approximately ₩6 trillion 5. A notable point is the effect of SK Hynix’s share cancellation. Whenever SK Hynix cancels treasury shares for shareholder return purposes (excluding those for employee compensation), SK Square’s ownership stake naturally rises from 20.5% to a maximum of 21.7% 5. This expands SK Square’s asset value and dividend income base without requiring additional share purchases.

Narrowing the NAV discount rate: Aggressive cancellation strategy to close the 'discount'

Narrowing the NAV discount rate: Aggressive cancellation strategy to close the 'discount'

A specific indicator investors should note in the ₩4.3 trillion policy is the 'NAV discount rate.' SK Square’s NAV discount rate stood at 46.4% as of March 24, 2026 3, and analytical data as of October 29 indicates 46.5% 5. This means the actual share price trades at a discount relative to the value of the company’s subsidiary stakes (NAV).

SK Square is expected to consider treasury stock purchase and cancellation as one of the execution methods for this policy. Share cancellation is one of the most powerful means to increase per-share value by directly reducing the number of outstanding shares. SK Securities set a target price of ₩1.85 million for SK Square, noting that benefits from dividends and share cancellation will serve as direct valuation-boosting factors 5.

Checkpoints for investors: Visibility and sustainability

SK Square’s policy of returning 70% of dividend income is attractive but carries structural features that require examination.

1. Dependence on a single subsidiary

SK Square’s shareholder return funding heavily relies on SK Hynix’s dividends 5. While massive cash inflows are expected at present with the continuation of the AI memory supercycle, semiconductor industry volatility could alter SK Hynix’s dividend capacity 51.

2. Specificity of execution method

Whether the announced ₩4.3 trillion is paid out immediately as 'cash dividends' or used for 'treasury stock purchases' to enhance per-share value affects investors’ after-tax returns and liquidity effects 6. The March plan combined cash dividends and treasury stock purchases to strike a balance in shareholder returns, but the specific timing and method of future execution are set to be finalized through board resolutions.

3. Building a financial foundation: Transfer of capital surplus to retained earnings

SK Square already transferred ₩5.89 trillion of capital surplus to retained earnings at the March 2026 shareholders’ meeting 3. This is assessed as a preemptive measure to expand the scope of legally distributable profits and establish a 'financial foundation' for sustaining large-scale returns 6.

Conclusion: Transformation of an asset-holding holding company into a 'shareholder-friendly company'

SK Square’s ₩4.3 trillion policy is difficult to view as a one-time dividend expansion. It can be interpreted as a declaration to dispel criticisms of undervaluation as a 'pure holding company' and to maximize cash flows from subsidiaries to the parent company, and from the parent company to shareholders 6. SK Square has chosen a strategy that leverages its secure cash-generation engines in AI and semiconductors as a driving force for shareholder returns.

It would be prudent for investors to watch leading indicators such as SK Hynix’s quarterly dividend scale and the pace of its share cancellation execution, while also monitoring the trend of SK Square’s narrowing NAV discount rate.

References

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